India Inc. Comes of Age

The acquisition of Hutchison Essar Ltd India’s second largest GSM mobile service provider by the U.K.’s Vodafone Group Plc and the acquisition of the U.K.’s largest steel maker Corus Group Plc by India’s Tata Steel Ltd reinforce the reciprocity between Indian and the U.K. companies seeking to unlock the potential in emerging economies on one hand and harnessing the size and scale of global operations on the other.

The year 2007 is on track to be a year of ‘mega deals’. The deals so far have already captured around $40 billion, twice as much as last year and 10 times more when compared to the corresponding period. While last year the focus was on the volume of deals, 2007 will be more value driven and is expected to touch the $100 billion mark.

The acquisition of Hutchison gives a boost to Vodafone’s plans to drive its future growth and value proposition to its shareholders through significant inroads in emerging markets. The Indian mobile telephony market, the fastest growing at more than six million subscribers a month is expected to reach a subscriber base of 348 million by 2010 from the current 143 million.

The acquisition of Corus Group Plc by India’s Tata Steel Ltd after the auction proceedings with rival Brazilian steel company, Companhia Siderurgica Nacional (CSN) highlights the growing significance and the competitive scenario among the BRIC’s economies (Brazil, Russia, India and China), which have been responsible for a third of the global growth since the year 2000. Their share in the world growth is expected to double to more than 40% by 2025, according to estimates .

S&P’s Investment Rating: A Bag of Mixed Fortunes

The recent upgrade in India’s sovereign credit rating to investment grade by Standard & Poor's, the global rating agency has come as good news at institutional and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) levels. Foreign direct investment (FDI) to India is expected to more than double to $12 billion this fiscal, the highest increase ever.

There are reasons to believe that the progressive trend will continue across sectors including the favourite Information Technology, real estate, energy, retail and film & entertainment which is fast becoming an area of interest especially from Europe. Please see our Feature Section to know more about the sector.

The rating will help significantly increase India's investor base opening up Indian asset markets potentially to the benchmarked investor community, which can only invest in investment-grade categories. The country received $8 billion foreign investments in Indian stocks this fiscal so far compared to $10 billion in whole of last year, according to estimates.

On a second thought, is it so good? India's rating is still the lowest amongst key Asian economies. At least 13 other countries are investment grade including Vietnam, Indonesia, Thailand, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Mongolia among others.

Perhaps, that’s the price the country has to pay for being a responsible democracy as some of the development agenda set by the government is held back. In the case of the Special Economic Zones, only half of the initially received 300 proposals were cleared and the process hasn’t moved ahead after that due to opposition from the Special Interest Groups (SIGs) and Farmers that are an important set in the electorate.

RBI: Making the Right Moves

The Credit Policy announced by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), the central bank of the country last week presents a well balanced approach to check inflation while ensuring that the growth trends in the economy remain unhindered towards 10% mark set by the Government.

While the former is restricting the creation of credit and raising the cost of borrowing with a 25 basis points increase in the repo rate (overnight lending) to control inflation, the latter continues to encourage growth and investment in the country.

The RBI was generous to the residential housing sector keeping it out of the ambit of the provisioning requirement, which has been increased to 2% standard assets from the existing 1%. Housing requirement of 80 million units over the next 15 years, the country needs huge investments in this area. The Indian Finance Minister chipped in with instructions to the public sector banks not to raise the interest rate on housing loans.

This along with the higher sovereign ratings by S&P earlier will help banks to sell bonds overseas. Thus, increasing money with banks and enabling them to increase lending to consumers. Bank of Baroda, a leading public sector bank plans to sell as much as $1.5 billion of medium-term notes to finance overseas expansion. ICICI Bank, the second largest in the country, this month sold $2 billion of dollar-denominated bonds, the most raised overseas by an Indian company, to meet demand for loans as the nation's middle class grows.

 
     
 

Bundeep Singh Rangar
Chairman, IndusView
Bundeep.Rangar@IndusView.com
www.indusview.com

 
 



 
 
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  Volume 3 Issue 2 | 13th February 2007  
Industry Stories
     
 
Mega Deals
The much awaited deal for acquiring Anglo Dutch Steel maker Corus Group Plc has gone in favour of Tata Steel Ltd, the largest private sector steel manufacturer of India, following an intense bidding war with Brazilian steel company Companhia Siderurgica Nacional (CSN). The $12.1 billion deal is the largest overseas investment by an Indian company so far. The combined entity will be the 5th largest steel manufacturer in the world with consolidated revenue of $24 billion.
 
     
 

News Makers
The global rating agency Standard & Poor’s has upgraded India’s sovereign rating to investment grade after a gap of one and a half decade. The investment grade rating ‘BBB-/A-3’ has come with a ‘stable’ outlook. The S&P upgrade is expected to enhance the prospects of India as an investment destination, as it will allow more foreign funds to take exposure in India.

 
     
 

Agents of Change: Dr.Kallam Anji Reddy
The founder of India’s third largest drugmaker Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories, Dr. Kallam Anji Reddy is credited for driving the transformation of India from a drug importing country to an exporter of drugs across the globe. He is regarded as a trendsetter in the field of drug discovery which was initially considered the forte of large multinational companies.

 
     
 

Special Report: Third Quarter Results.
The growth rate of India Inc.’s net sales has almost doubled to 35% in the third quarter (October-December 2006) of the fiscal year 2006-07 from 19% in the same quarter a year ago. The average net profit of more than 800 Indian companies increased by 67% during the third quarter of this fiscal, compared with 19% growth in the same quarter last fiscal. The strong performance was spread across sectors such as information technology, telecom, metal, cement, construction, oil & gas, capital goods, pharmaceuticals etc.  

 
     
 

Feature: Film Industry & Indo-EU Co-operation
India’s information technology (IT) and business process outsourcing (BPO) export is well on track to reach the target of $60 billion by 2010. 

 
     
 


Factoids

India’s information technology (IT) and business process outsourcing (BPO) export is well on track to reach the target of $60 billion by 2010. 

 
     
 
Company Watch:UltraTech Cement Ltd.
UltraTech Cement Ltd., the second largest cement manufacturer of India has delivered strong set of numbers in its quarterly results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2006-07 (Q3FY07). Net sales during the quarter at $283 million (Rs.1,260 crore) was up 60% compared to the corresponding period in the previous year. The net profit stood at $47.6 million (Rs.212 crore), which is about eight times compared to the net profit of $5.4 million (Rs.24 crore) during the corresponding quarter in Q3FY06.

 
     
 


Market Watch

The stock market is celebrating India Inc.’s strong performance in the third quarter results. Despite the selling from the domestic funds and lack of any buying support from the foreign institutional investors (FIIs), India’s benchmark index Sensex rose 304 points (2.21%) to move up to 14,091 on January 31, 2007 from 13,784 on December 29, 2006. 

 
     
   
Events
FICCI-FRAMES, organised by Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce & Industry, a national organisation that represents and aggregates multiple chambers of commerce has become the biggest global convention in Asia on the Business of Entertainment with participation by domestic and global media and entertainment conglomerates.

 

About IndusView

IndusView advises multinational companies on business opportunities emanating from India’s fast growing economy. It de-risks the growth ambitions of multinational companies operating as a trusted partner that understands the complexities of the Indian market and the commercial drivers of western enterprises.

IndusView provides strategic insight, competitive intelligence, research and execution capabilities to manage large vendor and corporate finance transactions.
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