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IBM: Advantage India
When International Business Machines Corp., the world's largest computer-services provider, holds its annual analysts’ meeting in Bangalore in June - for the first time instead of its homestead of New York, it will send a clear message to its shareholders. IBM has the “India Advantage” - cost-effective resources and a booming market.
IBM is holding the meeting in style. It has rented the Bangalore Palace, a sprawling Colonial-era edifice modeled on Britain's Windsor Castle, in the heart of India's Silicon Valley. The high profile event, from June 6 to 7, will be attended by 10,000 IBMers. India ‘s President A.P.J. Abdul Kalam will be the keynote speaker at a ceremony compered by Indian actress Diya Mirza.
India is the fastest growing market for IBM. It grew 61% in the first quarter ending March 2006. In 2005, it averaged 55% growth – again IBM’s fastest growing geography. Not surprisingly, IBM added 16,500 staff in India last year even as it culled its workforce by 14,500 people worldwide. Its staff totals more than 40,000 in India – second only to the U.S.
IBM’s net income increased to $1.71 billion for the quarter ending March 2006, compared to $1.4 billion during the same quarter last year. Analysts attributed two factors behind the better-than-expected earnings: job-cuts and higher sales in emerging markets. India helped on both fronts.
India has helped Sam Palmisano reverse the earlier trend of declining profits to the benefit of its shareholders. India is “the jewel in the crown” of IBM, the technology industry’s bellwether stock. If others in the industry hadn’t noticed that and learnt the “India Advantage” lesson, IBM’s analysts’ meeting this month will ensure they do.
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Venture Capital: Destination India
In what industry analysts view to be a “watershed event,” Silicon Valley-based Venture Capital fund Sequoia Capital has merged its India operations with Bangalore-based VC Fund WestBridge Capital Partners. It was notable on two accounts: VC funds rarely acquire or merge with other funds given the importance of team chemistry, shared investment vision and ‘baggage’ associated with a Fund’s legacy portfolio. Second, despite discussions over the past five years, no blue-chip Silicon Valley fund had actually merged with an India Fund – until now, that is.
The reason for doing so is simple: a scarcity of fund managers. While India is one of the most attractive private equity markets in the world - $1.5 billion worth of investments were made in the first quarter of 2006 compared with $2 billion for the entire year in 2005 - there exists a dearth of investment managers in India. Given the embryonic stage of the private equity industry, there are no more than 40 private equity fund managers in the country – and only half of them can point to a successful track record.
WestBridge has been one of the most active VC funds in India. Although the new entity would be called Sequoia Capital India, the four Managing Directors of WestBridge Capital Partners—Sumir Chadha, KP Balaraj, Sandeep Singhal and SK Jain — will be in the leading roles responsible for managing investments.
Sequoia joins other Silicon Valley funds such as Kleiner Perkins, Norwest Venture Partners, Matrix Partners, Benchmark Capital, Draper Fisher Jurvetson, and Greylock Partners that have expanded their presence in India recently.
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KKR Completes Largest Leveraged Buyout Deal in India
Flextronics Software Services (FSS), a software services company, offering voice over packet and broadband solutions was acquired by New York-based private equity firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. (KKR). KKR paid $900 million in the largest leveraged buyout in India, outbidding at least nine other interested parties. While the Indian vendor of communications solutions hopes to get more introductions from KKR to help accelerate its business, FSS will provide the deep bench of talent required to provide cost effective solutions from an India base.
The preeminence of India as the center for cost-optimized software and services was furthered as Electronic Data Systems Corp., the world's No. 2 seller of computer services, made an open offer of $380 million for 52% of IT and BPO services company MphasiS BFL Ltd. It also bought a 1% stake by purchasing shares owned by its MphasiS Chairman Jerry Rao. EDS’s purchase is similar to one by IBM, which purchased India’s third largest (at the time) BPO company Daksh eServices in April 2004, in an effort to increase their “India capability.”
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Sensex Falls: Smart Investor’s Opportunity
May 18 saw the biggest fall in absolute terms for the Sensex, India’s benchmark stock index, which dipped 826 points or 6.8% in a day. India’s finance minister Mr. P. Chidambaram termed it a ‘manufactured crisis,’ as it originated due to a tax related confusion regarding the foreign institutional investors (FIIs). The confusion coincided with a drop in stock market prices worldwide. The FIIs and domestic fund data that came later, however, suggested that FIIs were not bothered about the domestic issues, as their net selling was only $180 million on May 18, which was very much in line with their selling that started since May 12 under global pressures.
The domestic funds, on the other hand, used the opportunity to consolidate their holdings with a net purchase of $171 million (Rs. 763 crore) on May 18. In fact, the domestic funds have remained net buyers continuously since May 12. The FIIs remained net sellers almost every day during the same period, of course in line with their ‘global selling’ for the reasons rooted in the US economy—the interest rate outlook and fluctuations in the dollar price vis-à-vis other currencies.
The domestic fund buying showcases the inherent strength of the Indian stock market, which differentiates it with most of the emerging markets. Their faith in the Indian growth story prompted them to take advantage of the market slide to buy more Indian equities.
The market should soon rebound from the tax confusion and worldwide drop in equities. Investors might find this to be a good opportunity to purchase shares in India’s high growth companies at a 20% discount to what they were a few weeks ago.
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Bundeep Singh Rangar
Chairman, IndusView
Bundeep.Rangar@IndusView.com
www.indusview.com |
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Volume 2 Issue 5 | June 2006 |
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Industry Stories |
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Deal Watch
The month of April was full of high profile deals in IT as well Telecom sectors. Deals for Idea Cellular and Flextronics Software were top on the chart with deal value of $990 million and $900 million respectively. The long awaited MphasiS deal also came through, although via open offer route and at a price lower than earlier media reports. India’s shopping spree continued with Subex Systems acquiring U.K.-based Azure Solutions for $140 million.
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TMT Radar
India’s domestic market has not been impressive, although it has made its way into the export market of IT services and BPO. The situation, now, seems to be changing as the domestic IT market of India is estimated to have grown to $4.3 billion in the financial year 2005-06 with 23% growth rate according to a survey by NASSCOM, the premier trade body and 'voice' of the IT software and service industry in India. Well, it is still miniscule compared to the $23.5 billion export turnover of Indian IT companies. Not only this, the 23% growth rate of domestic IT market is slower than the export market, which registered 35.5% growth rate in 2005-06, as reported in a release by Electronics and Computer Software Export Promotion Council (ESC).
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Policy Watch
The finance ministry has intervened in the matter of tax demands raised by income tax authorities on some companies availing 100% tax holiday benefit under a scheme of Software Technology Parks of India (STPI). The income tax officials had raised the demands on the basis of a technical glitch, saying the STPI units had not obtained a necessary approval by the Inter-Ministerial Standing Committee of the Department Of Electronics. The finance ministry has ordered the tax authorities to put such orders in abeyance till further order.
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Corporate Monitor
The telecom sector well illustrates how India is becoming a big market for global companies, even as Indian companies are going global. Videsh Sanchar Nigam Limited (VSNL), the long-distance telecom service company owned by India’s largest corporate group Tata, is looking at revenue of $1 billion in five years from its nascent operations in South Africa. On the other hand, almost all the major global telecom equipment providers including Nokia, Motorola, Ericsson, Alcatel, Cisco etc. are queuing up for participating in the state owned telecom service provider, Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd’s mega-tender of 45 million GSM lines worth about $4 billion to $5 billion. Motorola has just been awarded a contract for supplying 400,000 GSM lines to another state-owned Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd (MTNL).
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Sector Focus: BPO Units No More a Poor Cousin
India's top IT services companies are adopting a strategy to integrate their business process outsourcing (BPO) units into their mainstream business by merging the BPO subsidiary with their core business. Infosys Technologies and HCL Technologies are the prominent names, which have recently merged their BPO subsidiaries into themselves. Apparently, the Indian IT services companies have shed the fear that low-skill BPO works may erode the brand value of their core business. ‘Keep-a-distance’ strategy has now been replaced by the ‘integration-mantra’.
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Company Watch:
Reliance Communication Ventures Ltd.
Meet the new member of India Inc.’s elite club called Sensex representing 30 select listed heavyweight companies. Reliance Communication Ventures Ltd. (RCoVL) will be a part of the Sensex from June 12, 2006. RCoVL has achieved this elite status in a very short span after getting listed at Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and National Stock Exchange (NSE) on March 06, 2006 only. And now, the company is ready to invite the global investors to participate in its growth story through sponsored GDR/ARD issue.
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People Watch: Nandan M. Nilekani
He is among the 100 people “who shape our world”, as acknowledged by the Time magazine by including his name in the list of Time 100 this year. Meet Nandan Nilekani, the co-founder, CEO, President and MD of Infosys Technologies, the second largest IT services exporter of India.
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Market Watch: The Biggest Fall:
Inflation related worries in the U.S. have had their ripple effect in the stock markets across the world including India. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) adopted the 'sell' strategy in line with their global position, particularly in the emerging markets. FII selling, coupled with crash in the metal prices globally, resulting sharp declines in the share prices of metal sector moved the Indian market downward in the second and third week of May 2006. Some confusion regarding tax on FIIs also fuelled the downfall, which resulted in the biggest fall of 826 points in Sensex on May 18. This made the week ending May 19, 2006 the worst performing week of the Indian stock market.
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About IndusView
IndusView advises multinational companies on business opportunities emanating from India’s fast growing economy. It de-risks the growth ambitions of multinational companies operating as a trusted partner that understands the complexities of the Indian market and the commercial drivers of western enterprises.
IndusView provides strategic insight, competitive intelligence, research and execution capabilities to manage large vendor and corporate finance transactions.
More at www.indusview.com
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